Why Obama Will Lose in November ... Alan Caruba

Why Obama Will Lose in November

By Alan Caruba

I received a campaign letter from Michelle Obama the other day. This is especially surprising because I am a registered Republican; hardly a likely prospect to contribute to her husband’s reelection efforts.

“Every day I learn about the challenges and the struggles—the doctor bills they can’t pay or the mortgage they can no longer afford,” said the text. The “fairness” theme, a socialist meme, was expressed. “American prospers when we are all in this together, when hard work pays off and responsibility is rewarded, when everyone—from Main Street to Wall Street—does their fair share and plays by the same rules.”

The fact is, however, America has not been prospering for the last four years during which Barack Obama has been President. And everyone knows it. The U.S. sovereign debt rating was downgraded for the first time while he occupied the Oval Office. Federal spending (25% of GDP) is the highest since World War Two. Federal debt (67% of GDP) is the highest since just after the end of World War Two, and the nation has experienced, not only the longest recession, but the highest unemployment since the 1930s.

In the first nineteen months of his time in office, Obama added more federal debt than was amassed by all U.S. Presidents from George Washington to Ronald Reagan.

I have two theories about the November 6 election. (1) That it will be an overwhelming defeat for Obama or (2) that it will be so close we could see a situation comparable to the Bush-Kerry election in 2004. Had Kerry won, the vice president would have been John Edwards who was carrying on an affair during that campaign and who currently faces jail for misuse of campaign funds.

Obama’s Achilles’ heel is, of course, Obamacare. As Robert Bluey of The Heritage Foundation notes, recent polls indicate that 53% of Americans favor repeal and more than half (57%) say that the Supreme Court should strike it down as unconstitutional. Fully 60% of physicians believe the law will have a negative impact on overall patient care.

The Congressional Budget Office revisited Obamacare this past week and concluded that 20 million Americans could lose their employer-sponsored health benefits and 49 million more Americans could become dependent on government-sponsored health care. Projecting through 2022, Obamacare could cost as much as $2.134 billion and the employer-mandate penalties could hit $221 billion.

There’s another reason why Michelle Obama was writing to me last week. As Karl Rove noted in a Wall Street Journal March 14 commentary, “Many of Mr. Obama’s 2008 donors are reluctant to give again” to his campaign. “As the Obama campaign itself reported, fewer than 7% of 2008 donors renewed their support in the first quarter of his re-election campaign, well below the typical renewal rate.

The Obama campaign and the Democratic National Committee are burning through current donations so fast that the White House has told this year’s congressional candidates that they will not receive any funding support for their campaigns because Obama needs all the money.

While Obama’s 2012 campaign is already showing signs of stress, other issues will impose great pressure. Unemployment affects most American families either directly or because some member of the family or a friend is unemployed. Even the unemployed vote!

The price of gasoline continues to rise and there is nothing the White House can do to reduce it. Releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve that exists for use only in an emergency will not do it and Americans are well aware that this administration has opposed or thwarted every effort to drill for more oil on federal lands. The failures of “green energy” companies that have cost Americans billions in loan guarantees are well known. A President who hypes “algae” as an energy solution will be seen as a fool and/or a complete charlatan.

Recent polls indicate how close the 2012 election may be. Obama has lost ground among female voters. In a head-to-head match-up with Mitt Romney, women voters back Obama 49%, but that is seven points lower than 2008. A Rasmussen poll found that 59% of likely voters asked whether Obama is more liberal or more conservative than they are answered that he was more liberal. Of these likely voters, 65% who are also union members thought Obama was more liberal than themselves.

Polling firms have been asking Americans to self identify themselves as conservative or liberal for decades. In February 2012, Gallup polling revealed “that in every single state with the exception of Massachusetts” conservatives outnumbered liberals. The Battleground Poll conducted by George Washington University in collaboration with Democrat and Republican polling organizations found that 58% of Americans described themselves as “very conservative” or “somewhat conservative”, while only 37% described themselves as “very liberal” or “somewhat liberal.”

A conservative campaign message will win in 2012 and this explains why the Republican primaries are all about candidates striving to describe themselves as a “true conservative.”

Even the mainstream media show indications of less Obama support. When even The Washington Post rejects Obama’s lies about U.S. oil reserves, as it did on March 15th, it suggests there may be a growing, wider level of disenchantment with the man they embraced in 2008.

Obama will lose in November. It may be a very close election or it may be an overwhelming rejection, but the polling numbers and the state of the economy will be the deciding factors.

Memo to Michelle Obama: The “fairness” message is not working. The appalling failures—“stimulus” anyone?—of Obama’s first term will ensure that there will be no second term.

© Alan Caruba, 2012

Raining On The Republican’s Parade

A Commentary by J. D. Longstreet

There is an article making the rounds on the Internet that 

explains why Obama will be reelected regardless of who 

the Republican nominee is and regardless of the economic

situation the US may find itself in at election time in November.

The article had a very prestigious economist’s name attached 

to it as the author, but that turned out to be false.

I received it a few days ago as a “forwarded” e-mail.  Needless 

to say, when its contents struck a cord with me, I immediately 

began to investigate to see if I could learn who, in fact, had 

written it.  All I was able to ascertain was that, indeed, the 

economist credited with having written it, did not.

Now, here’s the problem.  I happen to agree with a good 

deal of the article’s premise… that Obama will be reelected.  

I do not agree that he will win by a large margin, but I do

believe he will win, nevertheless.

Here’s some of the article.  Again I do not know who wrote it. 

If I did, and could prove it, I would certainly make the proper 

attribution.  So, consider the author unknown.

The article says the following:

“The media won't tell you this because a good election 

campaign means hundreds of millions (or in Obama's 

case billions) of dollars to them in advertising.

 But the truth is, there simply are no conditions under 

which Barack Obama can be defeated in 2012.

The quality of the Republican candidate doesn't matter.   

Obama gets reelected.

Nine percent unemployment?   No problem.  Obama will win.

Gas prices moving toward five dollars a gallon?  He still wins.

The economy soars or goes into the gutter.  Obama wins.

War in the Middle East?  He wins a second term.

America's role as the leading Superpower disappears? 

Just what he wants! 

The U.S. government rushes toward bankruptcy, the dollar 

continues to sink on world markets and the price of daily

 goods and services soars due to inflation fueled by Obama's

extraordinary deficit spending? No matter.  Obama wins 

handily.

Many will say, “You are crazy.  Don't you understand how 

Volatile politics can be when overall economic, government,

 and world conditions are declining?”  Sure I do.

 And that's why I know Obama will win.  The American 

people are notoriously ignorant of economics.  And 

economics is the key to why Obama should be defeated.

 Even when Obama's policies lead the nation to final ruin,

 the majority of the American people are going to believe

 the bait-and-switch tactics Obama and his supporters in

 the media will use to explain why it isn't his fault.  After 

all, things were much worse than understood when 

he took office.

 Obama's reelection is really a very, very simple math

 problem.  Consider the following:

1)       Blacks will vote for Obama blindly.  Period.  Doesn't 

matter what he does.  It's a race thing.  He's one of us.

That’s why the media destroyed Herman Cain so handily. 

Too big a threat.

2)       College educated women will vote for Obama.  Though 

they will  be offended by this, they swoon at his oratory.   It's 

really not more complex than that.

3)  Liberals will vote for Obama.  He is their great hope.

4) Democrats will vote for Obama.  He is the leader of their 

party and his coat tails will carry them to victory nationwide.

5) Hispanics will vote for Obama.  He is the path to citizenship

 for  those who are here illegally and Hispanic leaders recognize 

the political clout they carry in the Democratic Party.

6) Union members will vote overwhelmingly for Obama. 

He is their key to money and power in business, state and

 local politics.

7) Big Business will support Obama.  They already have. 

 He has almost $1 billion dollars in his reelection purse 

gained largely from his connections with Big Business 

and is gaining more every day.  Big Business loves Obama

 because he gives them access to taxpayer money so long 

as they support his social and political agenda.

8) The media love him.  They may attack the people who

 work for him, but they love him. After all, to not love him 

would be racist.

9) Most other minorities and special interest groups will 

vote for him. Oddly, the overwhelming majority of Jews 

and Muslims will support him because they won't vote 

Republican.  American Indians will support him.  

Homosexuals tend to vote Democratic.

And lastly…

10) Approximately half of independents will vote for Obama. 

 And he doesn't need anywhere near that number because

 he has all of the groups previously mentioned.  The President 

The Looney Tunes Version of the GOP Campaigns ... Alan Caruba

The Looney Tunes Version of the GOP Campaigns

My favorite Looney Tunes Characters (c) Warner Brothers

By Alan Caruba

I have begun to think of the Republican campaign as a series of Looney Tunes cartoons being replayed again and again. They are filled with a combination of laughs and the fantastical, self-defeating violence of Wily Coyote trying to catch the Roadrunner

As the primary season moves along, I sometimes think that far too many Republicans have temporarily lost their minds. Three years of Barack Obama will do that to you.

My response to the campaign thus far may have something to do with the fact that, like Reagan and others, I was once a Democrat and, to borrow a phrase from Paul, First Corinthians, “When I was a child, I spoke as a child, I understood as a child, I thought as a child; but when I became a man, I put away childish things.”

These days, a lot of Republicans sound like a kid who sent Santa a list of toys he wanted and, even though he got most of them, he feels compelled to write and ask why he didn’t get all of them.

Granted that Republicans don’t have the most scintillating field of candidates, but most, including Donald Trump, have concluded that a guy that made millions as a successful venture capitalist, gave a couple of million away in charity just last year, has been a Governor, and hasn’t had a single hint of scandal in his life, might not be such a bad choice.

His opponents at this point include a guy who wants to start a Moon colony, is married to his third wife, left the Speaker’s position under a cloud of ethics impropriety, is given to saying genuinely bizarre and extremely nasty things with regularity, and would make the pathological narcissist in the White House look like a Boy Scout.

Another opponent—one whom nobody including himself—thinks could get elected seems to be in the race for the purpose of having one last hurrah, beating the drum for a few good ideas and a lot of really bad ones. Ron Paul has been in Congress since shortly after the last Ice Age ended and has sponsored only one bill that passed.

And, finally, there is Rick Santorum who is so infused with religious commitment that he reminds me of someone who was touted in a similar fashion, a former Sunday school teacher named Jimmy Carter. All the religion in the world cannot substitute for the steely-eyed realism a President requires in a world filled with evil counterparts.

It’s the voters, however, about whom I worry. New Hampshire was expected to endorse Romney, but in South Carolina Republicans there gave the nod to Gingrich. The Floridians came through with the unmistakable choice, based I am inclined to think on the many older and wiser citizens that live there though, in fact, he won all the demographic groups.

Ron Paul may be mildly amusing to some, but he cannot win. Santorum is a nice guy and, as the saying goes, nice guys finish last. And Newt Gingrich is like one of the Loony Tunes characters, the Tasmanian devil, going around wrecking the place and throwing bombshells that do nothing to advance the Republican and/or conservative agenda.

Too many Republicans appear to be waiting for a candidate who is perfection in every respect, political and personal, and in the real world few fit that description. America has had its shot at electing a “messiah” and it has turned out very badly.

As the rest of the primaries unwind, I anticipate that Mitt Romney will emerge as the party’s choice. I also expect a lot of pure nonsense about his being a Mormon, about the fact that he has not always hewed perfectly to conservative principles, and that he has—God forbid—actually changed his mind more than once or twice in the past.

Lost in all this blather is the fact that he is ideally prepared for the toughest job in the world and appears to have both feet planted firmly on the ground. I actually like the idea that he occasionally misspeaks, admits it, and then apologizes.

I hope that between now and the convention in Tampa, Republicans will regain their senses, their optimism, and their fighting spirit.

Rolling over for the worst President of the modern era because our candidate is not “perfect” is not an option.

Voting for a third party candidate is not an option.

Staying home on Election Day because “your guy” didn’t get the nomination is not an option.

The Republican compass has to point in only one direction and that is the resounding defeat of Barack Obama.

© Alan Caruba, 2012

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 Alan Caruba's commentaries are posted daily at "Warning Signs" his popular blog and thereafter on dozens of other websites and blogs. If you love to read, visit his monthly report on new books at Bookviews. To visit his Facebook page, click here For information on his professional skills, Caruba.com is the place to visit.

Southern Democrats Worried That Obama Will Be Reelected

Southern Democrats Worried That Obama Will Be Reelected

A Commentary by J. D. Longstreet

In the Southern States of the US, there are still a vast number of conservative democrats.  I know.  I was raised with them, went to school and church with them, dated with them (as a teenager) – in other words—I lived with them.  And I still do.

My US Congressman is a conservative democrat … a “blue dog” democrat.

I make this point because -- knowing I am a conservative republican – they know I am greatly interested in seeing that Obama does get a second term, and they are so embarrassed by the man, and so angry with him, that they, too, want him out of the Oval Office --  and they want me to know they are going to do all they can to see that he does not get his coveted second term as President of the United States.

See, in the South many voters inherited their membership in the Democratic Party.  No.  I am NOT kidding.  They are democrats because their parents and grandparents and great-grandparents were democrats.  Until the Nixon Administration, it was southern tradition to be a democrat.

As far back as pre-Civil War, the democrats controlled everything in the southern states.  Yeah, these were the folks in charge when slavery was in full force in the south.  Of course, they’d rather you did not know that, just as they would rather you not know that the Ku Klux Klan was a sort of enforcement arm of the southern   Democratic Party.

The South was a fiefdom of the Democratic Party until Nixon changed all that with his southern strategy.  It was only then that southerners realized that being a Republican did not mean you were consigned to Hell upon your death. 

See, Republicans were placed into southern governments by the occupying forces of the United States of America during Reconstruction immediately following the Civil War.  Many republican officials were former slaves who, in many instances could not read and write.  It happened in my home state of South Carolina.  In Wilmington, NC it finally boiled over and riots (known as the Wilmington Insurrection of 1898, also known as the Wilmington Massacre ... or the Wilmington Race Riot of 1898) ensued in which a number of republicans were killed and others run out of town. This event is the only instance of a municipal government being overthrown in US history.  In the Wilmington Insurrection, Democratic white supremacists illegally seized power from an elected government, running officials out of the city, and killing many blacks in widespread attacks.  (SOURCE) 

The whole Reconstruction mess left an enduring bad taste in the mouths of southerners for well over a hundred years.  We have very long memories.

As a result, even though many southern voters actually believed in the platform of the Republican Party, they felt they must honor their families by registering and voting as democrats.  A rather large portion of the southern population still believes that.  But they are no longer in the majority.

However, a huge portion of southerners, beginning in the 1960’s, began to realize they had much more in common with conservative republicans than with the democrats.  LBJ was a huge boost to the Republican Party in the South.  Jimmy Carter came along and embarrassed all of us -- both southern democrats and republicans alike. Mr. Carter made the GOP much more appealing to southern democrats than before.

Then, of course, came Bill Clinton and southerners were aghast at his sexual hijinks. Once again Southern conservative democrats were embarrassed and infuriated at the same time.  Again, the Republican Party in the south was the recipient of a host of democrats who changed their party affiliation saying enough was enough.

Now, southern conservative democrats have been hit with a socialist President sailing under the colors of the Democratic Party. 

Southern conservative democrats are, many for the first time, noticing that the party of their parents and grandparents has, itself, been slowly adopting much of the socialist philosophy and even a bit from the communists, as well.  Obama has been a rude awakening for them.

Now, southern conservative democrats are just as worried as southern conservative republicans that Obama will be reelected.  The very thought is abhorrent to them.

Many of them have expressed to me their disappointment at the stable of Republican candidates for President.   When they do, which is often, I commiserate with them and tell them I am just as disappointed as they are. In truth, I am far more disappointed in my own party than they. 

At a time in US history, when the table is set for a Republican take-over of the US government, we have to choose between Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich?

I get the feeling that the GOP believes Americans are so fed-up with Obama that they are willing to vote for anybody but Obama.  I, on the other hand, am not so sure.  In fact, I think the GOP is making a terrible mistake and, as a result, will make possible a second term for Mr. Obama.

I think Americans will look at Romney and say why vote for an imitation when they can vote for the real thing … Obama.  I think the same American voters will look at Newt, and Newt’s baggage, and decide Newt represents too large a risk to chance placing him in the White House.   Either scenario will hand the Democrats and Obama a second term and, I am afraid, hand over control of the US House of Representatives to the democrats – and -- solidify the democrat’s control of the US Senate.

Many southern conservative democrats would vote for a conservative republican candidate they respected.  Problem is, there’s not one running!  And to be truthful, many southern conservative republicans feel the very same way.

I am very concerned that, come November of 2012, once again, the GOP will have managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

J. D. Longstreet

What About Gingrich?

What About Gingrich?

A Commentary by J. D. Longstreet

The upper echelons of the Republican Party are in a state of high angst.  Their phone lines and e-mails are flashing back and forth with amazing speed and in astounding volumes.  Many are showing signs of what we southern folks used to call “the vapors” as they place the back of their open hand to their foreheads and slouch softly to the floor in a state of quiet apoplexy. 

So, what’s causing all this?  The former Congressman from Georgia, the former speaker of the House of Representatives, one Newton Gingrich… or just plain … Newt.

Cries of “woe is me” echo from the walls of the GOP’s ivory towers.  Why, this is unbelievable.  Worse, this is unacceptable. It simply cannot be happening … and yet … it IS happening.

The anointed one, Mitt Romney, has, at least for the moment, fallen to the outcast Gingrich.  It is as if Sir Lancelot had been bested in a joust with a kitchen knave.  It is unheard of.  It cannot be.  But … it is.

Newt has more baggage than the carousel at the airport.  Romney is, well, perfect. And that, dear reader, is a part of the problem conservatives have with Romney.  He is a little TOO perfect.

If you never DO anything, you never make mistakes.  The more you do, the more mistakes you make.  Newt has made a heck of a lot of mistakes.

I have survived 14 US Presidential administrations.  I have seen the best of them and I have seen the worst US Presidents in modern history.  The best was Ronald Reagan and the worst was Jimmy carter … until Obama.  Now Obama holds the title as the worst President in US history.

I am, shall we say, an “older” American.  I learned long ago the old saw: “all that glitters is not gold” is absolutely true.  I have seen politicians come and go.  I have seen some rise to heights never expected of them and I have watched just as many promising young lawmakers crash and burn.

With the country in the mess that it is in, there is something comforting in a candidate with all the warts, hairs, scars, and yes, battle wounds, as well, making himself available to help guide the country out of this mess.

We “old timers” already know Newt’s foibles.  We know he is mercurial, egotistical, haughty, and brilliant.  We already know of his matrimonial problems.  We know he is brainy, zany, and at times -- just plain dumb.  He can be courageous or reckless depending upon your viewpoint.  Margaret Thatcher, former Prime Minister of Great Britain, once said of Newt:  “ … he has tons of guts.”

Newt is a contradiction.  He can at once be a genius and a dunce.  Every kid who has ever been to college knows a person like Newt.  Heck, he was our classmate.  He’s in our civic club. He goes to our church. He’s the guy in the front office where we work.  His name is: Tom, Dick, Harry, John, Jack, Don, and … Newt.

How many Mitt Romneys go to your church, your civic club, or work in your office?   See what I mean?  Am I making my point here? 

My generation knows Newt Gingrich about as well as it is possible to actually know a national politician.  We know what he is capable of… the good and the bad. And we are nothing if not practical.

We need a man who can do the dirty work that is needed to get America back on track.  And believe me, it will be dirty work. 

To get our nation set aright, a lot of Americans are going to have to be “P.O.ed.”  It is going to take a President willing to put his head down and plow ahead, against the current, until the job is done.  He will,  most likely,  be a one term President.  So many Americans will be so angered that it will probably be at least a generation before his greatness will be officially recognized.

Allow me this analogy:  A General needs a soldier for a nearly impossible mission.  His troops are standing before him in full brace -- at attention.  He can’t help but notice the soldier with the perfectly pressed uniform, the perfectly polished buttons, the regulation haircut, and those sparkling spit shined boots.

Then his attention is drawn to the middle-aged soldier with the broken nose, the scars on his face, the calloused hands, the boots that are polished just enough and a uniform that is slightly rumpled but with a string of hash marks denoting years of devotion and experience in the service of his country.

Care to guess which soldier the General will choose? 

There’s no big secret as to why Americans, especially older Americans, are taking a hard look at Newt. They don’t know, I mean REALLY know, Romney.  They feel they know Newt, well, enough, anyway, to give him a shot at the Oval Office and one of the most difficult problems every given to a human being.

Nah.  There’s no secret here.

J. D. Longstreet   

Beware Of Those Angry Americans

Beware Of Those Angry Americans

Democrats have nothing to offer but FEAR

A Commentary by J. D. Longstreet

Over the past two and a half years there has been a blanket of fear suffocating America.  The Congress has taken America to the brink time after time after time.  It was, and remains, a strategy of the democrats to get their polices passed into law.  It has worked, up to now, because the nation’s mainstream media, the propaganda arm of the Democratic Party, has aided and abetted their heroes on the left by spewing that fear from their printing presses and their news anchor desks. 

So far, only one segment of America has actually been frozen by their torrent of fear -- America’s business community.  The American populace is, by and large, not afraid.  They are mad as hell!

America’s pollsters tell us that Americans are every bit as mad as they were before the elections in November of 2010 and we should look for massive turn-overs in the House, the Senate, and quite possibly the Oval Office, as well, in the election of 2011.

The Democratic Party is still relying on its reservoir of minorities, leftist wing-nuts, labor unions, uber liberals, progressives, socialists, Marxists, and communists to push their candidates across the finish line to victory in 2012.  They can count on the votes of every leftist fringe group under the sun to march to the polls in lock step and cast a vote for the Democratic Party’s socialist agenda.

Their campaign of fear, aimed at senior Americans and that huge minority group that is a ward of the government and cannot, or will not, feed themselves without the government check each month, and yes, the Latino voters who still believe that illegal aliens will get a free ride to citizenship even though those illegals are already law-breakers, will certainly payoff at the polls.

Why?

Ignorance, avarice, sloth, greed – take your pick, or add a few reasons to the list.

The GOP, especially conservative republicans, have a HUGE mountain to climb next year to claim victory at the polls.

So what to do?  How do you fight fear and ignorance?  You fight it with truth.  Expose the democrats for what they are.  Use their own words and deeds against them.  Pull back the drapes, open the blinds, and shine a little sunshine into the room and watch the roaches scurry for cover.

Ask the question:  “Are you better off today than you were in 2008?”  Millions upon millions of Obama’s words are out there ready to be used as swords of truth cutting to the marrow.  Our President loves the sound of his own voice.  Get between him and a microphone, or camera, and you are likely to be trampled!   Compare the Democratic Party’s promises against what they actually delivered.  Facts are, indeed, stubborn things. 

It is important to remember this:  Truth has no agenda.  Republicans should stick to the truth.  Only produce facts that can be proven. 

As we said earlier, Americans are angry.  They see through the crisis and fear agenda of the Democratic Party and they are sick to death of it.  They want o have a leader they can have confidence in.  A leader who exudes calm certitude based on years of experience as a Chief Executive Officer of a state, a governor for instance.  They are looking for someone with a proven record of performance and someone who will produce his, or her, birth certificate up front.

Americans have been lied to, used, kept in doubt and anxiety by the current administration, until they are more than ready to throw of the yoke of oppressive uncertainty. 

I am old enough to remember, very well, the Eisenhower Administration.  The early 50’s was another time when Americans were tired.  The Great Depression, FDR, and world events such as World War Two, had jerked them around.  Then came the Truman Administration and the Korean War, (which the democrats referred to as a  “UN Police Action.”)  They were tired and not a little angry.

Ike came along and promised the American people that if elected he would “bring the boys home” from Korea.  He was, he did, and then -- he played golf for the remainder of his first term and continued his tour of the links during his second term. 

Ike could, and often did, wax white-hot with anger … in private.  But in public he was as calm as a duck on water.  Rarely ever did one see even a flicker of anger.  He was convinced the American people needed some tranquility, some quiet certitude, and he gave it to us.  The decade of the 1950’s was one of the most prosperous times in America’s history.

Americans long for that kind of leadership again.  We may never find it.  The world has changed.  People have changed.  Events move far too quickly for human comprehension these days.  With 24-hour news, computers, the Internet, and every kind of hand held appliance dripping information from around the world, there is no longer day and night.  Every thing is crowding in upon us.  PTSD is the order of the day.  We don’t have time to sort things out, time to reflect, time to grieve, time to just be quiet and shut the world out and simply allow our minds to slip into neutral and just, well, rest. 

Honestly, I think the world is on the brink of a nervous breakdown!  The anger, the unrest, the riots, the wars all over the globe, the starvation caused by both wars and famine and by those who see withholding food as power over the people – all of it just screams lunacy!

Then, too, there is the fear of a coming religious war between Islam and every other religion on the planet.  We all know it is bound to happen, and yet, we try not to think about it, speak about it, or write about it. It IS coming and it will be a war with no quarter.  Some say it has already begun.

It is simply too much.  And yes, Americans are angry, but it is not just Americans.  The world is on a slow boil.

However, Americans, ever optimistic, will have a chance to bring some sanity back to their land next year in the elections of 2011. Believe me when I predict that -- not a single politician holding office today in our nation’s capitol is safe from being sent packing.

Americans are beginning to focus their anger on what they perceive as the root cause – our very own government -- and THAT we CAN change.

J. D. Longstreet    

Caruba's Crystal Ball: 2012 Election Predictions ... Alan Caruba

Caruba's Crystal Ball: 2012 Election Predictions

By Alan Caruba

It is time my friends to take my crystal ball out of its velvet-lined box, dust it off, and prognosticate. I have gazed deeply into its refracted light regarding the November 2012 elections and the Republican candidates. Here is what it tells me.

Texas Governor Rick Perry will be an August entry into the field of candidates and just blow everyone else out of the race. He has a hell of a track record in the Lone Star state where he became the first governor since WWII to reduce spending using a line item veto to scrub $3 billion from the budget. He has done many other things that conservatives just love and independent voters, shell-shot from Obama’s crazed assault on America, will support. He has never lost an election!

Gov. Mitt Romney is Mr. Flippity-Floppity; a political disaster waiting to happen. His poll rankings are due mostly to name recognition. John McCain beat him out for the nomination last time around and these two RINOs should taking up quilting or some hobby other than politics.

Rep. Michelle Bachman is the Tea Party flavor of the month, but will generate little fervor beyond the patriot legions. My crystal ball says America is not ready for a woman president and that includes Sarah Palin who, in case no one has noticed, is not running. If that makes me sexist, then so be it.

Gov. Tim Pawlenty is toast after the Iowa primaries which will tilt heavily toward Ms. Bachman because she was born there and because Iowans love mavericks. Pawlenty is just too “nice” at a time when voters want a candidate who exudes a more aggressive persona.

Rep. Rick Santorum or as we say around here, “Rick Who?” has no traction at all. He will be gone by Iowa and New Hampshire.

Herman Cain has personality to spare, but after four years of Obama, many voters are going to be wary of voting another Black American into the Oval Office. (I would vote for Rep. Allen West in a heartbeat.) Meanwhile, Cain will be offered the job of Secretary of Commerce in the Perry administration.

Rep. Ron Paul will be remembered as the Harold Stassen of this generation of voters. The original Stassen ran for the GOP nomination for president eight (8) times between 1946 and 1992! A Libertarian, Paul has a few good ideas and a lot of bad ones. On television he comes across as everyone’s angry grandpa.

Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House, was deserted by virtually his entire campaign staff weeks ago. He needs to officially retire from the race and go back to doing commentary for Fox News. Even Mike Huckabee had the good sense to stay put there.

Lastly, there’s some guy called Jon Huntsman who nobody has ever heard of except the immediate members of his family. He was Obama’s ambassador to China. No need to say anything more about Jon.

For those who actually think Obama will be reelected, relax. He’s already political road kill even though he will get the Democrat nomination.

Obama’s lost his mojo. Lots of people have someone like him in their family and, as often as not, they’re a crack addict, a mental case. The aura of the office and all its trappings will do nothing for this moron. He will do worse than George McGovern did in 1972 against Richard Nixon or Walter Mondale in 1984 against a former California Governor named Ronald Reagan.

And, yes, there are a lot of GOP candidates. By contrast the Communist Democratic People’s Party has only one.

© Alan Caruba, 2011